Trump 2.0 and Regional Foreign Policy: The Caucasus (Part I)

Trump 2.0 is certain to shake up most regions across the globe, but few have such different regional players, interests, and stakes as the Caucasus does. This article analyses what Trump’s policy towards the Caucasus may look like, and what implications this will have on the region and its future.

Executive Summary

  • The return of Trump’s transactional politics after Biden’s ideological approach is certain to have an impact on developments in the Caucasus.

  • Trump’s approach towards the regional powers of Iran, Russia, and Türkiye will be crucial in dictating US policy in the region.

  • Where, how, and whether Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Georgia fit into US strategy will effectively be determined by the nature of American relations with the three regional powers.

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Armenia’s EU Bid: Key Takeaways