Conflict Scenario: Education Access and Youth Safety Amid Gang Resurgence in Soyapango, El Salvador

This scenario explores a possible renewed crisis of gang resurgence and its devastating impact on education access and youth safety in Soyapango, El Salvador. Following a period of reduced violence under heavy-handed anti-gang operations, 2030 has seen a subtle yet dangerous reemergence of organized criminal influence. Gangs are reasserting control through soft coercion, digital surveillance, and targeted intimidation, transforming schools from sanctuaries into contested spaces. Teachers and NGOs now face threats, student attendance is plummeting, and youth are increasingly vulnerable to recruitment and violence. This fictional analysis provides a strategic framework for education-focused NGOs, offering actionable recommendations to safeguard students, support educators, and preserve learning environments amid escalating insecurity.