Conflict Scenario: Internal Displacement and Humanitarian Protection Amid Gang Violence in Choloma, Honduras

This scenario examines a humanitarian crisis unfolding in Choloma, Honduras, where escalating gang violence, state crackdowns, and institutional breakdown have fueled a surge in internal displacement. By early 2027, thousands of families fled their homes amid threats from both gangs and security forces. Makeshift encampments emerged on city outskirts as municipal shelters reached capacity and public services collapsed. NGOs face operational risks, limited coordination, and growing insecurity while attempting to provide shelter, legal aid, and psychosocial support. The scenario highlights the blurring of lines between humanitarian emergency and armed conflict, underscoring how Choloma’s crisis reflects deeper structural failures in urban governance, protection systems, and social cohesion.