Wagner’s expanding influence in Venezuela: geopolitical and security implications.

Venezuela’s prolonged social and economic crisis, compounded by the erosion of democratic institutions, has overshadowed significant challenges, including the growing presence of Russia’s Wagner Group. This paramilitary organisation plays a crucial role in advancing Moscow’s geopolitical agenda, supporting the Maduro regime’s repressive operations, and safeguarding Russian economic interests, particularly in the oil and mining sectors. As the incoming Trump administration outlines its foreign policy priorities, its approach towards Venezuela remains uncertain. While tougher sanctions and negotiations may be on the table, direct action to address Wagner’s expanding footprint in the country is unlikely in the short term.